Although DVD players are now a staple in most homes in America and around the world, most consumers still needed a VCR if they wanted to archive a favorite TV show or camcorder content. However, a recent report from Semico Research Corp. says DVD recorders are rapidly taking the VCR’s place in homes all over the world.
DVD recorders by units are forecast to grow from 22.8 million this year to 86.9 million by 2009, representing a CAGR of 39.7 percent, Semico reports. Revenues will grow from $6.3 billion this year to $12.0 billion by 2009, at a CAGR of 18 percent.
"Adoption has been hampered in recent years by the existence of several different formats: DVD-RAM, DVD-R/RW, and DVD+R/RW," said Adrienne Downey, senior analyst at Semico. "Now that the industry is starting to make players, recorders, and media more compatible with these different formats, an even worse format war is brewing -- the fight over the next generation, high-definition and high-density DVD."
According to Ms. Downey, two blue-laser-based formats, Blu-ray and HD DVD, have divided the consumer electronics industry, the PC industry, as well as Hollywood itself. Developed in China, a third high-definition format, EVD, is red-laser-based and complicates the whole mess even more, she said.
Who will win the format war? With the coming of high-definition television around the world, DVD recorders will need to be able to hold substantially more data per disc than ever before, according to Semico. Also, today’s DVD content coming out of Hollywood has already pushed beyond the limits of standard DVD.
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