PC Market to Suffer First Decline in 2009 in Since Dot-Com Bubble
Jul 17, 2009
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For the first time since the Dot-Com bust of 2001, the global PC market will suffer a contraction in unit shipments in 2009, due to a combination of falling IT spending and plunging sales of desktop computers, said iSuppli Corp.

Global PC shipments are expected to decline to 287.3 million units in 2009, down 4% from 299.2 million in 2008. iSuppli previously forecasted 0.7% growth in PC shipments for the year.

The primary factor driving the decline in the PC market in 2009, it said, is an expected 18.1% fall in desktop shipments. Unit shipments of desktop PCs will amount to 124.4 million in 2009, down from 151.9 million in 2008.

In contrast, notebook PC shipments in 2009 will rise by 11.7% to reach 155.97 million units, up from 139.6 million in 2008. Notebook PC shipments will exceed those of desktops on an annual basis for the first time ever in 2009.

While iSuppli is currently correlating its data for second-quarter 2009 PC shipments, iSuppliā€™s forecast for the second quarter calls for flat shipments rising 0.1% to reach 66.54 million units, up from 66.45 million in the first quarter. In the third and fourth quarters, shipments are expected to increase by 11% and 8.9%, respectively.

Shipments in the third quarter will be down 6.5% compared to the same period in 2008. However, in the fourth quarter, it said that shipments will increase by 3.6% compared to a year earlier. This trend will continue in 2010, it said, with shipments rising on a year-over-year basis during every quarter of the year. For all of 2010, global PC shipments will rise by 4.7% from 2009.

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