OECD Composite Leading Indicators Table: April 2009
Jun 8, 2009 |
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| |
Ratio to trend, amplitude adjusted
(long term average =100) |
Change
from previous month (points) |
Year
on Year change (points) |
Growth cycle outlook** |
| |
2008 |
2009 |
2008 |
2009 |
Latest month |
|
| |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
| OECD Area |
93.6 |
92.9 |
92.6 |
92.7 |
93.2 |
-1.1 |
-0.7 |
-0.3 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
-8.3 |
possible trough |
| Euro Area |
94.3 |
94 |
94 |
94.5 |
95.3 |
-0.7 |
-0.3 |
0 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
-6.3 |
possible trough |
| Major Five Asia* |
93 |
92.4 |
92.3 |
92.7 |
93.3 |
-1.1 |
-0.6 |
0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
-8.9 |
possible trough |
| Major Seven |
93.3 |
92.5 |
92 |
92 |
92.4 |
-1.2 |
-0.8 |
-0.4 |
0 |
0.4 |
-9.2 |
slowdown |
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| Canada |
93.8 |
93.2 |
93 |
93.2 |
93.6 |
-1 |
-0.6 |
-0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
-7.6 |
possible trough |
| France |
96 |
96.2 |
96.7 |
97.8 |
99 |
-0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
-1.2 |
possible trough |
| Japan |
92.6 |
91.3 |
90.2 |
89.4 |
89.5 |
-1.9 |
-1.3 |
-1.1 |
-0.8 |
0.1 |
-11.9 |
slowdown |
| Germany |
91.7 |
90.8 |
90.3 |
90.2 |
90.3 |
-1.5 |
-1 |
-0.5 |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
-13.4 |
slowdown |
| Italy |
95.3 |
95.7 |
96.3 |
97.3 |
99.4 |
0 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1 |
2.1 |
-0.6 |
possible trough |
| United Kingdom |
96.2 |
96.1 |
96.3 |
96.7 |
97.4 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
-4.2 |
possible trough |
| United States |
92.6 |
91.5 |
90.9 |
90.7 |
90.9 |
-1.5 |
-1.1 |
-0.6 |
-0.2 |
0.2 |
-10.8 |
slowdown |
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| Brazil |
98.8 |
96.7 |
95 |
93.6 |
92.9 |
-2.2 |
-2.1 |
-1.7 |
-1.4 |
-0.7 |
-12.8 |
strong slowdown |
| China |
92.5 |
92.2 |
92.6 |
93.4 |
94.3 |
-1 |
-0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
-8.3 |
possible trough |
| India |
94.4 |
93.8 |
93.6 |
93.5 |
93.9 |
-0.9 |
-0.6 |
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
0.4 |
-7.9 |
slowdown |
| Russia |
90.7 |
88.4 |
87 |
86.2 |
85.9 |
-2.9 |
-2.2 |
-1.5 |
-0.8 |
-0.3 |
-21.3 |
strong slowdown |
* China, India, Indonesia, Japan and Korea.
** Growth cycle phases
of the CLI are defined as follows: expansion (increase above 100), downturn
(decrease above 100), slowdown (decrease below 100),
recovery (increase below 100).
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