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Daily News

OECD Composite Leading Indicators Table: April 2009
Jun 8, 2009
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Ratio to trend, amplitude adjusted
(long term average =100)
Change from previous month (points)
Year on Year change (points)
Growth cycle outlook**
 
2008
2009
2008
2009
Latest month
 
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
OECD Area
93.6
92.9
92.6
92.7
93.2
-1.1
-0.7
-0.3
0.1
0.5
-8.3
possible trough
Euro Area
94.3
94
94
94.5
95.3
-0.7
-0.3
0
0.4
0.8
-6.3
possible trough
Major Five Asia*
93
92.4
92.3
92.7
93.3
-1.1
-0.6
0
0.3
0.7
-8.9
possible trough
Major Seven
93.3
92.5
92
92
92.4
-1.2
-0.8
-0.4
0
0.4
-9.2
slowdown
                       
Canada
93.8
93.2
93
93.2
93.6
-1
-0.6
-0.2
0.2
0.4
-7.6
possible trough
France
96
96.2
96.7
97.8
99
-0.1
0.2
0.5
1.1
1.2
-1.2
possible trough
Japan
92.6
91.3
90.2
89.4
89.5
-1.9
-1.3
-1.1
-0.8
0.1
-11.9
slowdown
Germany
91.7
90.8
90.3
90.2
90.3
-1.5
-1
-0.5
-0.1
0.1
-13.4
slowdown
Italy
95.3
95.7
96.3
97.3
99.4
0
0.4
0.6
1
2.1
-0.6
possible trough
United Kingdom
96.2
96.1
96.3
96.7
97.4
-0.3
-0.1
0.1
0.4
0.7
-4.2
possible trough
United States
92.6
91.5
90.9
90.7
90.9
-1.5
-1.1
-0.6
-0.2
0.2
-10.8
slowdown
                       
Brazil
98.8
96.7
95
93.6
92.9
-2.2
-2.1
-1.7
-1.4
-0.7
-12.8
strong slowdown
China
92.5
92.2
92.6
93.4
94.3
-1
-0.3
0.4
0.8
0.9
-8.3
possible trough
India
94.4
93.8
93.6
93.5
93.9
-0.9
-0.6
-0.3
-0.1
0.4
-7.9
slowdown
Russia
90.7
88.4
87
86.2
85.9
-2.9
-2.2
-1.5
-0.8
-0.3
-21.3
strong slowdown

* China, India, Indonesia, Japan and Korea.

** Growth cycle phases of the CLI are defined as follows: expansion (increase above 100), downturn (decrease above 100), slowdown (decrease below 100), recovery (increase below 100).

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